Thursday, April 29, 2010

Uncertainty in Real Estate Markets

Silicon Valley median home price on the rise
In one of the strongest signs yet that the Silicon Valley housing market is recovering, the median price of houses sold in Santa Clara County last month shot up 29 percent from a year earlier, hitting $550,000, the biggest year-over-year increase in ... (to read the rest of this article please http://www.mercurynews.com/real-estate-news/ci_14890494)... However, Andrew LePage, an analyst with DataQuick, said "significant threats" still loom from higher interest rates, a weak economy and the likelihood of a rising inventory of homes being sold either after foreclosure or in an attempt to avoid foreclosure.

Santa Clara County foreclosures jump 72 percent

Foreclosures shot up 72 percent in Santa Clara County last month compared with a year earlier — the biggest increase in more than a year — further proof that federal efforts to keep people in their homes have had little effect. A total of 434… (to read the rest of this article please visit http://www.mercurynews.com/real-estate-news/ci_14877464).

Economist says CA tax credit won’t last through May
The Federal tax credit expires Friday April 30th and new homebuyers will burn through the California's state tax credit no later than May 20, the California Association of Realtors, an industry group, said Wednesday. Starting May 1, buyers who haven't owned a home in the previous three years and buyers of new homes will both become eligible for a $10,000 state tax credit… (to read the rest of this article please visit http://www.nctimes.com/business/article_5fb80b8a-7e42-500f-ad3d-bc3851850f15.htm).

Market Recap: The chart below shows that cities east of highway 880 are continuing to have less inventory. Home prices have risen in these areas as much as 10% in 6 months. Demand has far outweighed supply.

For Comparison: The West side of Highway 880 had more supply than demand in March, which could be a sign of prices falling if the trend continues.


Current Prediction: Prices will be stable for the next couple months as we move into uncertain times. With tax credits expiring and interest rates rising the distant future of home prices is unknown but count on me to keep you informed.


The table represents aggregated values based on MLS data for the specified date.

* Mortgage rates were collected from publicly available sources (yahoo.com) on the date stated. The accuracy of the information and the availability of these rates are not guaranteed by the publisher. Rates are provided for informational purposes only and are subject to change without notice. Actual market interest rates may vary.